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Growth Trend for California Wine Continues: Mainstream Wine Culture Emerges in the U.S.
http://californiawineandfood.com/articles/14/1/Growth-Trend-for-California-Wine-Continues-Mainstream-Wine-Culture-Emerges-in-the-US/Page1.html
Dan Clarke

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By Dan Clarke
Published on 06/2/2007
 
SAN FRANCISCO – California wines sales in the U.S. reached another all-time high of 449 million gallons (188.9 million nine-liter cases) in 2006 with a retail value of $17.8 billion, according to wine industry consultant Jon Fredrikson, publisher of the Gomberg-Fredrikson Report.  On volume growth of 2 percent, the retail value of California wine sales increased by nearly 8 percent in a highly competitive U.S. market driven by the upward trend in the sales of premium wines, priced $7 and up, where California dominates.  Total California winery shipments to all markets in both the U.S. and abroad increased 2 percent to 541 million gallons (227.6 million nine-liter cases) last year...

Growth Trend for California Wine Continues: Mainstream Wine Culture Emerges in the U.S.
SAN FRANCISCO – California wines sales in the U.S. reached another all-time high of 449 million gallons (188.9 million nine-liter cases) in 2006 with a retail value of $17.8 billion, according to wine industry consultant Jon Fredrikson, publisher of the Gomberg-Fredrikson Report.  On volume growth of 2 percent, the retail value of California wine sales increased by nearly 8 percent in a highly competitive U.S. market driven by the upward trend in the sales of premium wines, priced $7 and up, where California dominates.  Total California winery shipments to all markets in both the U.S. and abroad increased 2 percent to 541 million gallons (227.6 million nine-liter cases) last year.
Jon Fredrikson

Accounting for two-thirds of all wine sold in the U.S., California wines are benefiting from several trends which are contributing to the emergence of a wine culture in the U.S.

“Fueling the American consumer’s interest in wine is the increased tourism to outstanding wine regions throughout the state of California.  The rise of vibrant wine communities all over the U.S. and the availability of a greater selection of wines in retail outlets, restaurants and through direct-to-consumer sales are also adding to greater consumer awareness,” said Robert P. (Bobby) Koch, President and CEO of Wine Institute.  “Since the May 2005 Supreme Court decision that helped to increase the number of states which allow direct sales, the percentage of adults who can access their wines of choice in this manner has grown from just over 50 percent to 80 percent of the U.S. population.”

“Wine consumption in America reached new heights in 2006 as a growing number of adult consumers drank more wine than ever before,” noted Fredrikson.  “Wine’s positive image, its extensive media exposure with scores of stories about the potential health benefits of moderate wine consumption, and the widening distribution of a vast range of appealing wines broadened the consumer base.  Wine gained share of mind with mainstream media exposure.”

“Not only are more Americans enjoying wine than ever before but they are enjoying higher-priced wine, “said Barbara Insel, Managing Director of MKF Research in St. Helena.  “Currently, the heart of the U.S. wine market is wine priced between $8 and $15, with rapidly growing sales of wine above $15.  Restaurants and retailers have found that wine is a magnet for consumers, signaling a quality experience.”

Sales by Price Tier Reflect “Affordable Luxury” Uptrend Purchases

Premium California table wines, priced $7 and over, increased 10 percent by volume in 2006 for a 38 percent share of case shipments and 67 percent of winery revenues, according to the Gomberg Fredrikson Report.  This positive uptrend reflected consumers continuing to use their discretionary income to trade up to more expensive products and affordable luxuries such as wine.  The price segment of everyday wines up to $7 were flat in volume sales, accounting for 62 percent of the shipments and 33 percent of the revenues.

Thirteen Consecutive Years of Growth in U.S. Wine Market

For 13 consecutive years, sales in the U.S. of wine from California, other states and foreign producers have increased.  In 2006, sales rose 3 percent compared to the previous year to 716 million gallons (301 million cases) for a total retail value of $27.8 billion.  Of the total volume, table wine sales were 624 million gallons; dessert wine 57 million gallons; and sparkling wine 35 million gallons.  California wine’s 449 million gallons to the U.S. accounted for a 63 percent market share of the volume sold.

Selection Dramatically Expands in U.S. Food Stores

U.S. food stores continued to broaden their selection of wine brands to meet consumer demand for wider variety and higher-end products.  Some 423 new wine brands were introduced in 2006 to the existing 4,658 wine brands sold in U.S. grocery stores, according to The Nielsen Company, which tracks product sales to consumers, based on information gathered at the retail point-of-sale.  By volume, Chardonnay (21 percent), Merlot (12 percent), Cabernet Sauvignon (10 percent) and White Zinfandel (9 percent) accounted for 52 percent share of market in food stores.  White  varietals Pinot Grigio, up 28 percent by volume, and Riesling, up 24 percent, jumped at high rates, but it was Chardonnay that was the leading volume growth leader, expanding by 844,000 cases, followed by Pinot Grigio, up 815,000 cases, and Cabernet Sauvignon, up 782,000 cases.

Sparkling Wines/Champagnes Rebound in Popularity

Sparkling wines/champagnes grew by one million cases in 2006 to a total of 35 million gallons (14.6 million cases), up 7 percent from the previous year.  California accounted for 59 percent of the total volume.  The sparkling wines/champagnes category represents 5 percent of all wine sales in the U.S.

U.S. Wine Exports Jumped to Record High

U.S. wine exports, 95 percent from California, totaled $876 million and 404.5 million liters (106.9 million gallons) in 2006, an increase of 30 percent in value and 4.0 percent in volume, compared to 2005.  In Europe, where the U.S. ships more than half of its sales abroad, exports surged 48 percent by value.  Wine exports to Canada grew 29 percent by value.  The long-term trend of California wine exports shows steady expansion, with the 2006 number representing a 106 percent increase in exports by value in the last decade. 

California Winery Shipments 1
(In millions of gallons)

 

Year

California Winery Shipments to All Markets in the U.S. and Abroad

California Winery Shipments to the U.S. Market

2006

541.1

449.2

2005

532.8

441.2

2004

521.7

428.2

2003

493.5

417.0

2002

464.3

401.0

2001

449.1

387.0

2000

445.9

392.0

1999

443.1

397.0

1998

432.5

385.0


1 Includes table, champagne/sparkling, dessert, vermouth, other special natural, sake and others. Includes foreign bulk shipped by California wineries.  Source: Wine Institute and Gomberg-Fredrikson & Associates.  History revised.

 

TABLE WINE VOLUME SHARE BY COLOR
In U.S. Supermarkets

COLOR

1991

1995

2004

2005

2006

Red

17%

25%

41%

42%

42%

White

49%

41%

40%

41%

42%

Blush

34%

34%

19%

17%

16%

TOTAL

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Source: Based on U.S. supermarket data from The Nielsen Company.

 

WINE SALES IN THE U.S.—1991 to 2006 in millions of gallons

(Wine shipments from California, other states and foreign producers entering U.S. distribution)

 

Year

 

Table Wine1

Dessert Wine2

Champagne/
Sparkling Wine

 

Total Wine

Total Retail Value

2006
Estimates

624

57

35

716

$27.8 billion

2005

608

51

32

692

$25.8 billion

2004

589

45

31

665

$24.0 billion

2003

570

40

29

639

$22.3 billion

2002

552

37

28

617

$21.8 billion

2001

512

34

27

574

$20.3 billion

2000

507

33

28

568

$19.2 billion

1999

475

31

37

543

$18.1 billion

1998

466

31

29

526

$17.0 billion

1997

461

29

29

519

$16.1 billion

1996

439

31

29

500

$14.3 billion

1995

404

30

30

464

$12.2 billion

1994

394

33

31

458

$11.5 billion

1993

381

35

33

449

$11.0 billion

1992

405

37

33

476

$11.4 billion

1991

394

39

33

466

$10.9 billion

Sources: Volume—Wine Institute, Department of Commerce, Estimates by Gomberg, Fredrikson & Associates. Preliminary. 
Totals may not add due to rounding.  Excludes exports.  History revised because of updated TTB reports.

1 Includes all still wines not over 14 percent alcohol; excludes Canadian coolers (made from malt).
2 Includes all still wines over 14 percent alcohol and sake on new TTB releases.

 estimated 2006 California Table Wine Shipments
By Price Segment

Retail Price

Price Segment

Nine-Liter Cases Sold (Millions)

Percent of Total

Winery Sales Revenues
(Millions)

Percent of Total

Over $14

Ultra-premium

22

13%

$2,930

35%

$7 up to $14

Super-premium

42

25%

$2,640

32%

$7 and Over

Subtotal Premium

64

38%

$5,570

67%

$3 up to $7

Popular Premium

56.6

33%

$1,830

22%

$2 to $3

Extreme Value Wines

6.9

4%

$130

2%

Below $3

Economy Wine

43.3

25%

$720

9%

Up to $7

Subtotal Everyday Wine

106.8

62%

$2,680

33%

 

TOTAL TABLE WINE

170.8

100%

$8,250

100%

Source:  The Gomberg-Fredrikson Report. Traditional table wines include an estimated volume of still wines over 14% alcohol which are sold as table wines.  Excludes coolers and cider.
CONVERSION: Nine-liter cases times 2.37753 equals gallons.